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Why Humans Are Not The Primary Cause of Climate Change
Industrialization caused <12% of Earth's temperature rise​
A research site led by physicist Rodney McInnis

Research Resetting Our Understanding

GREENHOUSE GAS MYTH IS REVEALED
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How NASA's Temperature Record Proves CO2 is Only a Small Influence on the Rise
​88% OF TEMPERATURE RISE NOT GHGS
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How Reduction in Cloud Cover and Aerosols is the Dominant Effect Causing The Rise in Earth's Temperature
RESEARCH QUALIFICATIONS
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Learn More About Rodney McInnis
“The influence of mankind on climate is trivially true and numerically insignificant.” - Richard Lindzen

Why Publish This Research?

Humanity is under attack--not by rising GHG levels, but by very damaging climate mandates precariously tethered to catastrophically flawed science.

The Climate Bell research findings exposes the scientific flaws and computes the greenhouse effect properly. It reveals that the trillions of dollars spent addressing greenhouse gases will have no measurable impact on weather events or climate change. Instead, that money could be spent on useful endeavors for real benefits like health, infrastructure, and education as examples.
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Climate change is a reality in today's world, but we have solid evidence that human greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions only account for less than 12% of the temperature rise since the year 2000 and in fact before that. The major driver has been cloud cover changes, and additional evidence supports it being the major driver throughout the entire industrialization period. Furthermore, that cloud cover variation has nothing to do with greenhouse gases and can be shown to be primarily driven by natural processes rather than any major trend from human activities.

Serious Scientific Mistakes Identified

The movement of thermal energy within the Earth system is complex to model. The escape of the heat from the Earth system is much simpler to model. The Generalized Circulation Models (GCMs) used by climate scientists are the wrong tools to study the greenhouse effect because the greenhouse effect is the escape of Earth's heat and nothing to do with internal transformations of thermal energy within the Earth system.

Another key mistake in climate science has been their assumption that Earth’s greenhouse effect is best modeled with stochastic parameterization schemes, and as a consequence that approach embeds uncertainty into their predictions. In contrast, Climate Bell’s research and modeling approach proves the Earth system can be deterministically modeled with centered datasets, offering clear, accurate, and validated outcomes while resolving longstanding uncertainty about the effects of rising greenhouse gas levels.  The first approach unfortunately just preserves diverging uncertainty whereas the Climate Bell approach produces solutions that align with multiple datacentric verifications.  This outline reveals many mistakes by climate scientists studying GHG effects.

Research Timeline

Rodney initiated his research in 2022 after watching a 1985 US Senate hearing of scientists testifying that rising CO2 levels would cause the Earth's temperature to rise several degrees centigrade later this century (see C-SPAN's video here at 30:20). This helped lead to the creation of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 1988. 

Rodney's physics background and curiosity led him to check the scientists' calculations himself. Here was his 3-step approach:
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​Considered the following:
  • How much Earth's temperature would rise due to the increase in human-influenced GHG levels
  • Increased GHGs cause an increase in temperature, in turn creating more water vapor in the atmosphere as a result of bodies of water evaporating, causing further warming from the rise of water vapor which is the strongest GHG
  • Computing fundamental measurements made by NASA and other official sources to validate GHG Lab's accuracy, such as Earth's absolute temperature from the greenhouse effect using detailed absorption data.
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​Step 1 conclusion: once the GHG effect was isolated, it was clear that one or more bigger factors must be the primary cause of the Earth's warming.
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​Considered the following:
  • Monthly incoming solar radiation averages since March of 2000
  • Monthly reflected solar radiation averages since March of 2000
  • Monthly outgoing longwave radiation averages since March of 2000
  • Weekly ice and snow coverage for the Northern Hemisphere since 1967
  • Increase in Earth's plant growth due to rising CO2
  • Potential for methane release from the permafrost
  • Changes in Arctic and Antarctic sea ice area
  • Changes in Earth's cloud cover percentage
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​Step 2 conclusion: cloud cover reduction emerged as the single biggest contributing factor to Earth's warming, and not rising GHGs.​
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 Considered the following:
  • Example 1: models that don't include water vapor first, prior to calculations, fail to recognize the dominating absorption overlap effect reducing the impact of rising emissions as found deficient on NASA's site here: https://science.nasa.gov/earth​​​​​​​
  • Example 2: models that create approximation equations for radiative forcing instead of calculating with detailed absorption data get it wrong for methane and nitrous oxide. Example: (page 358)​ www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/TAR-06.pdf
  • Example 3: models that correlated emissions as the primary driver of temperature rise are proven wrong by the temperature record but found deficient on NOAA's site in this downloadable snapshot: ​
climate_change__global_temperature___noaa_climate.gov_b.pdf
File Size: 951 kb
File Type: pdf
Download File

​Step 3 conclusion: GCMs (Generalized Circulation Models) have made numerous and significant errors as they are contorted to attempt to compute the greenhouse effect.
​​Final conclusion: steps 1 to 3 collectively produced the result that less than 12% of the temperature increase for the last six decades is from rising GHGs.  Some portion of those rising GHGs no doubt would be from human activity, and perhaps most.  However, cloud cover reduction, completely unrelated to rising GHGs, is the dominant cause for the temperature increase.

More Understanding

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Summary of Some Key Climate Bell R&D Discoveries

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